TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on which team will be the first to reach a score of 10 points in an upcoming football game. It captures the early momentum of the match, reflecting how quickly either team can establish a scoring advantage. The outcome depends purely on the game's progression up to the point one team hits that threshold.
The event determines which team scores the 10th point first in the Carolina vs. Philadelphia Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. If Philadelphia reaches 10 points before Carolina, the Philadelphia market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Carolina reaches 10 points first, its market resolves to Yes. Should neither team achieve this milestone during the full game, including any overtime periods, the Neither Team market resolves to Yes. Postponements are handled such that if the game starts within 48 hours of its original time, trading continues and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within that window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring all outcomes are covered under clear conditions.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of many individuals. However, sportsbook odds are often set with a profit margin built in, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply the dynamics of each market. It’s common to see initial differences that narrow as the event approaches and more information becomes available. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available liquidity at different price points, and traders can place limit or market orders to participate. As more traders enter the market, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team reaches 10 points first during the Carolina vs Philadelphia game. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances following the official confirmation of the game's outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Carolina or Philadelphia teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s playing style, could also move the market. Even public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can influence trader behavior and shift the odds. Unexpected in-game developments, such as early scoring drives or turnovers, would also be major catalysts for movement.