TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific players from the Carolina and Philadelphia teams achieve a rushing milestone in their upcoming game on October 18, 2026. Each player's performance is evaluated independently to determine if they meet their respective yardage thresholds for their longest run during the match.
The event evaluates two separate player performance metrics in the Carolina vs Philadelphia Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. For each player—Chuba Hubbard and Bryce Young—the market resolves to Yes if the athlete records a longest rush exceeding their specified yardage threshold (14.5 yards for Hubbard, 7.5 yards for Young). If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles to the fair market price determined before the game begins. Once a player takes at least one snap, regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty, the outcome is determined based on the longest rush actually recorded during the game. The markets operate independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the other. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a margin for profit, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own information and beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Polls and analysts' predictions also frequently diverge from both sportsbook and prediction market pricing, highlighting the unique insights offered by each approach. This market allows for a different perspective on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different players, and the price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people bet on a particular player, the price of their contract increases, reflecting a higher implied probability of them having the longest rush. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available contracts at different price points, giving traders insight into the liquidity and potential price movements. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest single rushing attempt, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the result. The official NFL game statistics will be used to verify the longest rush. Any ties will be handled according to the platform’s rules, which are available for review on Kalshi. Traders should monitor the game results closely as they approach the resolution date to understand how the market is likely to settle.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key running backs on either team would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or snow, could favor a more run-heavy offensive strategy, potentially increasing the chances of a longer rush. Unexpected coaching decisions or adjustments to game plans could also influence the market. Finally, even late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to traders reassessing their positions and moving the market prices.