TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:14 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of quarterbacks Jalen Hurts and Bryce Young in a specific NFL matchup, focusing on how many passing touchdowns each player achieves during the game. The outcomes depend entirely on the in-game statistics of these two players, reflecting their offensive contributions.
The official rules establish a series of markets centered on the number of passing touchdowns achieved by Jalen Hurts and Bryce Young in the Carolina vs Philadelphia NFL game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of passing touchdowns (1+, 2+, 3+, and 4+) for each quarterback. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the respective quarterback meets or exceeds the designated threshold of passing touchdowns during the game. If a quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game begins. However, once a quarterback takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market outcome is determined solely by the actual number of passing touchdowns recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for both quarterbacks, ensuring consistent evaluation criteria for each passing touchdown threshold.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by professionals. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public bias or promotional considerations when setting their odds, whereas this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of many individual traders. As more information becomes available—such as injury reports or weather forecasts—both sets of odds will adjust, but prediction markets often converge towards a more accurate probability assessment as the event approaches. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early on, before significant trading volume occurs.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes—in this case, the number of passing touchdowns scored. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the available contracts at different price points, indicating the level of buying and selling interest for each potential passing touchdown total.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing touchdowns scored by both the Carolina and Philadelphia teams will be used to determine the winning contracts. Official game statistics from a trusted source will be the basis for the resolution, ensuring an objective and transparent process. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game and verification of the official results.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key quarterback injuries for either the Carolina or Philadelphia teams would likely cause substantial price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they indicate strong winds or heavy rain, could also impact the expected number of passing touchdowns. Late-breaking news about changes in offensive strategies or the availability of key receivers could also shift market sentiment. Finally, significant trading volume driven by informed bettors or large-scale positions could also cause noticeable fluctuations in the prices of contracts within this market.