TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:30 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate how many points Carolina and Philadelphia will score together in the final quarter of their football game on October 18, 2026. Each market has a different threshold, reflecting varying expectations about the scoring intensity in the last quarter.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both Carolina and Philadelphia during the 4th quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026, excluding any overtime periods. Each market has a specific numerical threshold; if the combined score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes,' meaning the over condition is met. The thresholds range incrementally from 3.5 points to 24.5 points, allowing participants to assess different levels of scoring activity. The secondary rule consistently specifies that only points scored during regulation play in the 4th quarter count, ensuring uniformity across all markets. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights different from those found in traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by experts aiming to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the collective wisdom of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially favor one team, this market can quickly adjust based on diverse opinions and real-time analysis of factors influencing the game’s final quarter.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a specific outcome – in this case, whether the total points scored in the 4th quarter will be over or under a certain threshold. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe the score will be higher, the price of “over” contracts increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the evolving expectations of the crowd, providing a real-time assessment of the potential 4th quarter score.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the 4th quarter of the Carolina vs Philadelphia game will be used to determine whether the total points scored exceed the threshold defined by the contracts traded on Kalshi. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Carolina or Philadelphia teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, especially if they impact the passing game, could also shift expectations. In-game performance during the first three quarters – particularly scoring trends and defensive adjustments – will heavily influence trading activity as the 4th quarter approaches. Any significant shifts in public opinion, reflected in sports news and analysis, could also impact this market.