TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 3:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the third quarter of an upcoming professional football game. It captures the competitive performance of the teams during a specific segment of play, highlighting short-term scoring ability rather than overall game outcome.
The market determines the winner of the third quarter in the Carolina vs Philadelphia professional football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. A team wins the quarter market by scoring the most points during that specific 15-minute period of play. If both teams finish the quarter with identical scores, none of the team-specific outcomes will resolve positively; instead, the tie outcome will resolve as the correct result. Only points scored during the third quarter itself count toward determining the market result, with all other scoring from other quarters being irrelevant to this specific market resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market's prices are driven purely by supply and demand from traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If a significant number of people believe one team will win the 3rd quarter, the price for that outcome will increase, potentially moving further away from initial sportsbook lines. However, as the event approaches, the two may converge as more information becomes available and public sentiment solidifies.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous, order-book style exchange. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, either Carolina or Philadelphia winning the 3rd quarter. The price of each contract fluctuates based on the forces of supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price rises, reflecting increased confidence in that outcome. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and generate a probability-based forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will settle based on which team has the higher score at the end of the 3rd quarter of the Carolina vs Philadelphia game. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Carolina or Philadelphia teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team strategy or unexpected lineup adjustments could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, real-time game performance during the first and second quarters, and even pre-game analysis from sports analysts, can all contribute to price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions or referee announcements could also play a role in how traders assess the probabilities.