TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Carolina vs Philadelphia: 3rd Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Carolina vs Philadelphia?

Volume:
$71,706

Carolina wins by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

Carolina wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 3:55 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Carolina wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20,741
N/A
N/A
$9,715
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Carolina wins by over 1.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,533
N/A
N/A
$7,543
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Carolina wins by over 3.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,713
N/A
N/A
$25,205
Settled
No
kalshi

Philadelphia wins by over 6.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,837
N/A
N/A
$3,812
Settled
No
kalshi

Carolina wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,087
N/A
N/A
$2,083
Settled
No
kalshi

Philadelphia wins by over 2.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,520
N/A
N/A
$1,160
Settled
No
kalshi

Carolina wins by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,030
N/A
N/A
$918
Settled
No
kalshi

Carolina wins by over 6.5 points

0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$846
N/A
N/A
$795
Settled
No
kalshi

Philadelphia wins by over 3.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$690
N/A
N/A
$673
Settled
No
kalshi

Philadelphia wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$403
N/A
N/A
$403
Settled
No
kalshi

Philadelphia wins by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$304
N/A
N/A
$304
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Carolina or Philadelphia specifically within the third quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team during that quarter alone.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the point differential achieved by either Carolina or Philadelphia during the third quarter of the game scheduled for October 18, 2026. For Carolina markets, resolution occurs if Carolina outscores Philadelphia by more than the specified margin (ranging from 1.5 to 10.5 points). For Philadelphia markets, resolution occurs if Philadelphia outscores Carolina by more than the specified margin (ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points). Only points scored during the third quarter count toward determining the outcome, regardless of the overall game result. All markets operate independently, meaning each resolves based on its own threshold without reference to other markets.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL 3rd quarter spread tracks the current price of contracts representing whether Philadelphia will win the 3rd quarter by more than 3.5 points, or Carolina will win or tie. You can view the price history, which shows how the market has fluctuated over time, and the 24-hour volume, currently at $71,459. The total volume traded on this market is $71,706. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and trading activity related to the 3rd quarter spread.

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than initial sportsbook lines. However, sportsbook odds are set by professionals and can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management. It’s common to see initial discrepancies between this market and sportsbook odds, with prediction markets sometimes incorporating information faster than traditional sportsbooks. Over time, the two may converge as more information becomes available and betting activity increases, but differences can persist due to varying market participants and motivations.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 3rd quarter spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the market’s expectation for the 3rd quarter spread between Carolina and Philadelphia, and traders can use this information to inform their own predictions and trading strategies.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official 3rd quarter spread of the Carolina versus Philadelphia game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official game statistics, and the market will settle based on whether Philadelphia wins the 3rd quarter by more than 3.5 points, or Carolina wins or ties. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, particularly the quarterback or key defensive players, could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing game, could also move the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026.