TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 3:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in a specific quarter of an upcoming football game between two teams. It highlights the importance of short-term performance rather than the overall game outcome, allowing participants to speculate on momentary competitive advantages.
If Philadelphia wins the 2nd Quarter of the Carolina vs Philadelphia Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Carolina wins the 2nd Quarter of the Carolina vs Philadelphia Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd Quarter of the Carolina vs Philadelphia Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or breaking news. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the same data. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the expected outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the second quarter. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular team will win, the higher the price of that contract will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the team leading at the end of the second quarter of the Carolina vs Philadelphia game will be declared the winner of this market. The result will be based on official game statistics and verified against credible public sources. Traders who correctly predicted the winning team will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in the first quarter of the game will likely have a significant impact, as will any in-game adjustments made by the coaches. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also contribute to price movements, though the market often acts as an independent indicator.