TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:30 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate the total points scored by both teams in the second half of a football game, including any overtime periods. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to resolve as 'Yes'.
All markets resolve based on the combined points scored by Carolina and Philadelphia in the second half (including overtime) of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if the total points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored during the second half and any overtime periods count toward these markets. The thresholds range from 3.5 points to 42.5 points, allowing participants to assess varying levels of scoring intensity in the latter portion of the game. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of many individual traders. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated accuracy in forecasting event outcomes, sometimes exceeding the performance of traditional polls or expert analyses. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges, as traders incorporate their own insights into the price.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of the total score in the second half falling below that value. As more traders believe the total will be higher, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, reflecting the collective intelligence of the traders participating in the market. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total score of the second half of the Carolina vs Philadelphia game will be used to determine whether contracts settle above or below the market price. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will then receive payouts based on their positions in the market at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to game time. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Carolina or Philadelphia teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also move the market. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also cause price fluctuations as traders adjust their expectations. Overall game momentum and scoring trends during the first half could also influence trading activity.