TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:08 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will lead after the first quarter of a professional football game between Carolina and Philadelphia. It specifically tracks scoring performance within the initial 15 minutes of play, ignoring the rest of the game. Outcomes depend entirely on which team has the higher point total in that quarter, or if the quarter ends in a tie.
The market determines the leader after the first quarter of the designated Carolina vs. Philadelphia professional football game. Each team’s market resolves positively if that team scores the most points in the first quarter alone. If both teams finish the quarter with identical scores, all team outcomes resolve as No, and the Tie outcome resolves as Yes. Only points scored during the first quarter count toward these determinations, and the broader game result has no impact on resolution.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability of victory. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a dynamic pricing model, adjusting prices based on supply and demand, and the volume traded provides insight into the strength of conviction behind each position.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team is officially declared the winner of the first quarter of the Carolina vs Philadelphia game. The result will be based on the official game statistics and score as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts on the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing team will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or player availability would likely cause significant price movement. Furthermore, public opinion and media coverage can also play a role, as they can influence the overall perception of each team's chances. Monitoring these signals can help you anticipate potential shifts in the market and adjust your trading strategy accordingly.