TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 3:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various thresholds for the total points scored by both teams in the first half of an upcoming football game. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to assess the potential pace and scoring dynamics of the match.
These markets resolve based on whether the combined points scored by Carolina and Philadelphia in the first half of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 42.5 points. Each market has a unique threshold, and the outcome depends solely on the total points accumulated during the first half of play. All markets share the same secondary rule, which stipulates that only points scored in the first half count toward the resolution. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the ‘wisdom of the crowd’ and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or when public opinion strongly favors one result. Examining these differences can provide insights into where the market believes sportsbooks may be over or underestimating probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability assessment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. Currently, the market is indicating a certain level of confidence in a particular outcome, but this is dynamic and can shift rapidly based on trading activity. The current price reflects what traders are willing to pay for exposure to that outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total points scored in the first half of the Carolina vs Philadelphia game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics, and the market will settle based on whether the actual total points scored exceed or fall below the threshold defined by the contract prices on Kalshi. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the result.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Carolina or Philadelphia teams would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to a high- or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might prompt traders to reassess their probabilities. Overall game previews and expert analysis can also cause movement in this market.