TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:29 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the relationship between the first half and full game outcomes in a specific football match. They evaluate whether particular combinations of first half and full game results occur, providing insight into potential betting scenarios.
All markets resolve based on the combined results of both the first half and the full game (including overtime) of the Carolina vs Philadelphia Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. For a market to resolve as 'Yes,' both the specified first half result and the specified full game result must occur exactly as described. If either the first half or full game result does not match the market's conditions, the market resolves to 'No.' If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, the markets will resolve to a fair price. Each market specifies unique combinations of possible first half outcomes (Philadelphia win, Carolina win, or tie) paired with specific full game outcomes (Philadelphia win, Carolina win, or tie).
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market's prices are driven purely by supply and demand from traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, as traders can potentially profit by exploiting the difference. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure decreases the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information. Traders are constantly updating their beliefs, which is reflected in their trading activity and impacts the overall pricing.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Carolina vs Philadelphia game, specifically the first half and fulltime result, will be used to determine the winning contracts. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will not. The resolution process relies on publicly available and widely accepted sources to ensure a fair and transparent outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Carolina or Philadelphia team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team strategy, weather forecasts impacting game conditions, or even unexpected coaching decisions could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed traders can quickly alter the price, especially if they signal a strong conviction about a particular outcome. Monitoring these signals is crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.