TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 9:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an NHL hockey game between two teams scheduled for a specific date. The result depends on which team wins the match. If the game is delayed but starts within a short window of its original time, the result still counts; however, if the game is canceled entirely, the market will be settled fairly instead of resolving to a definitive win for either side.
The event determines the winner of the NHL game between the two teams scheduled for October 3, 2026. If either team wins the game as scheduled, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result once the game concludes. Should the game be canceled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring an equitable settlement regardless of the teams' performance.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the wisdom of the crowd on Kalshi, aims to reflect the true probability of outcomes as perceived by traders. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts as more information becomes available and more people participate. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as the event draws nearer and more volume is traded.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds are constantly updating based on supply and demand. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The current market depth and order book are visible directly on the Kalshi dashboard.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Carolina vs Philadelphia game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score and official result will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It's important to monitor news sources and official announcements as the event approaches to stay informed about any potential delays or changes that could affect the resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or key player availability would likely cause noticeable shifts in the odds. Furthermore, large-volume trades from informed participants could also move the market. Monitoring sports news, team updates, and the trading activity on Kalshi will provide insights into potential catalysts that could affect the outcome of this market.