TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Carolina wins by over 1.5 goals
- Kalshi
Carolina wins by over 1.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 01d:06h:19m
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This market assesses the outcome of an NHL hockey game between Carolina and Nashville, focusing on the margin of victory. It determines whether either team wins by a specified number of goals, reflecting the competitive balance and performance of both teams in the match.
The event consists of four markets, each tied to the Carolina vs Nashville NHL game scheduled for Nov 3, 2026, and each resolving based on the margin of victory. Markets 1 and 2 address Nashville’s potential win, with thresholds of over 2.5 and over 1.5 goals respectively, while Markets 3 and 4 address Carolina’s potential win, again with thresholds of over 1.5 and over 2.5 goals. All markets share consistent secondary rules: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result still applies; if the game is cancelled or does not start within that window, all markets resolve to a fair price. The resolution hinges entirely on the official game result and the goal differential, with no partial credit or alternative outcomes considered.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their models and risk management, while this market relies on individuals making independent assessments. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into public sentiment and the potential for mispricing, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Carolina versus Nashville spread. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their forecasts are correct. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by new information, expert analysis, and overall market sentiment regarding the game’s likely result.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Carolina versus Nashville game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the actual point spread achieved in the game. The market will determine which side of the spread, Carolina or Nashville, ultimately wins, based on the official game results. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Carolina or Nashville teams would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected changes in goaltending matchups or coaching strategies could also shift the odds. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team morale, travel disruptions, or even weather conditions impacting game play could all serve as catalysts. Public perception, as reflected by expert analysis and media coverage, will also play a role in shaping the market’s price.