TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 11:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks offensive performance thresholds in a specific football matchup, focusing on whether either team surpasses various yardage milestones during their game. The outcome depends entirely on the official statistics recorded by league officials at the conclusion of the contest.
All markets resolve based on the total offensive yards accumulated by either Carolina or Green Bay in their Pro Football game originally scheduled for October 29, 2026. For each market, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team reaches or exceeds its designated yardage threshold (ranging from 250+ to 450+ yards). If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing uncertainties.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own analysis and information. As such, you might observe discrepancies between the implied probabilities here and those offered by traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges and influences trader behavior. It’s a fascinating comparison to consider when evaluating potential value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts representing different yardage outcomes for Carolina. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. When more people believe Carolina will exceed a certain yardage total, the price of that contract increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to reflect the collective intelligence of all participants, creating a real-time assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total yardage gained by Carolina will be compared against the various thresholds offered in this market to determine which contracts settle positively. The official NFL statistics will serve as the definitive source for the total yardage, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will then receive payouts based on their positions and the final result.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Carolina or Green Bay teams – particularly quarterbacks, running backs, or wide receivers – would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts for the game day could also impact expectations for passing versus running plays, shifting the market. Finally, any late-breaking news about coaching strategies or tactical adjustments could lead traders to reassess their predictions, resulting in increased volume and price movement in this market.