TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 10:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming football game, allowing participants to speculate on various scoring thresholds being met or exceeded.
Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold for either team in the Carolina vs Green Bay Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 29, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team scores more than the designated point threshold during the game. The thresholds vary incrementally for both teams, covering a wide range of possible scoring outcomes. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own analysis. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms, and this market offers a unique perspective on the potential result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly, making it a responsive indicator of potential game outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team totals from the Carolina vs Green Bay game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official scores recorded by the league, and will determine which contracts pay out to winning traders. The market will then close, and any outstanding contracts will be settled according to the final results of the event.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Carolina or Green Bay teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions unfavorable for passing or running, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could also lead to changes in trading activity and, consequently, the prices within this market.