TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 11:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of both teams in a specific football game, focusing on how many times each team's defense can tackle the opposing team's quarterback behind the line of scrimmage. The outcome depends on whether predetermined thresholds of such tackles, known as sacks, are met by either team during the match.
The event resolves based on the total number of sacks recorded by each team during the Carolina vs Green Bay Pro Football game scheduled for October 29, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific sack threshold for either Carolina or Green Bay, resolving to 'Yes' if the team records at least the specified number of sacks. Sacks recorded during 2-point conversion attempts are excluded from all counts. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official final result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's actual completion status.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, leading to prices that can diverge from those found at sportsbooks. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information and react to news more quickly than sportsbooks, especially as game day approaches. However, both aim to accurately predict the outcome, and discrepancies can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions about the total number of sacks. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract, and therefore, what they believe the likelihood of that outcome is. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the expected number of sacks.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of sacks recorded during the Carolina versus Green Bay game will determine the winning contract. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the source for verifying the outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual number of sacks will be paid out according to the market’s pricing at the time of resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. News regarding injuries to key offensive linemen or defensive players on either team would likely have a significant impact, as this directly affects the potential for sacks. Weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be unfavorable for passing, could also move the market. Late-breaking news about changes in defensive schemes or coaching strategies could also cause shifts in trader sentiment. Finally, any significant public endorsements or analysis from football experts could influence trading activity and, consequently, the price of contracts.