TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 12:14 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of specific players in a football game between Carolina and Green Bay, focusing on how many rushing yards each player accumulates. The outcome depends on the actual yardage achieved by each named player during the match. Payouts are calculated based on a fixed rate per yard, with a maximum cap to ensure balanced returns.
The event consists of three separate scalar markets, each tied to a different player’s rushing yard performance in the Carolina vs Green Bay Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 29, 2026. For each market, Yes contracts pay $0.0025 per rushing yard recorded by the respective player, up to a maximum payout of $1.00, which corresponds to a cap of 400 yards. The No contracts pay the remainder, such that the total payout for any contract always sums to $1.00. Payouts are proportional to the holder’s position size. For instance, if a player records 80 yards, the Yes contract pays $0.20 and the No contract pays $0.80; if 200 yards are recorded, both sides pay $0.50. If the player records zero yards, the Yes contract pays $0.00 and the No contract pays $1.00. All markets operate independently, and each resolves to Yes if the corresponding player’s rushing yards trigger the specified payout structure.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the evolving probabilities as perceived by the market participants. The current prices indicate what traders believe is the likelihood of each rushing yard ladder being achieved.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard statistics from the Carolina vs Green Bay game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle based on the officially recorded rushing yards for each player in the game, as determined by the NFL's official statistics. The final result will be used to determine which contracts pay out and at what value, based on the ladder structure of the market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key running backs on both the Carolina and Green Bay teams would be a major catalyst. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be unfavorable for running, could also shift the odds. Unexpected news regarding offensive line injuries or changes in coaching strategy could also influence trading activity. Finally, any late-breaking news about player matchups or game plans could lead to substantial movement in this market.