TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 11:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks rushing performance in an upcoming football game, offering payouts based on how many yards specific players gain. Contracts reward higher payouts as players accumulate more rushing yards, with detailed tiers defining the return for each range of yards achieved.
Contracts in this event pay out based on the rushing yards accumulated by designated players in the specified football game. Each Yes contract’s payout increases incrementally with every 10-yard interval up to a maximum of $1.00 for 200 or more yards, following a cubic scaling formula derived from the official yardage total. The No contract pays the difference between $1.00 and the Yes payout, ensuring the total return for both positions sums to $1.00. Negative rushing totals result in a $0.00 payout for Yes contracts. Payouts are capped at $1.00 for Yes contracts, and the market resolves to Yes regardless of the outcome, with all calculations based strictly on official game statistics.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yardage outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more trades occur, the price adjusts to reflect new information and changing opinions. The market's price is determined entirely by supply and demand – if more people want to buy a contract, the price goes up, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a real-time assessment of the likelihood of various rushing yardage totals.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final rushing yardage totals from the Carolina vs Green Bay game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official statistics released by the NFL will serve as the basis for determining the winning contracts. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted the final rushing yardage total, based on the contract price at resolution. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game statistics to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Injury reports for key running backs on both teams are significant catalysts, as are changes in weather forecasts, which can impact the game plan and favor either a passing or running attack. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or offensive line changes could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, any updates on player availability, even minor ones, can lead to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about team news is crucial for understanding potential market movements.