TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 12:21 AM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks whether Josh Jacobs achieves specific rushing yard thresholds in a football game between Carolina and Green Bay. Each threshold represents a different level of performance, with outcomes determined by actual game statistics. The contracts include protective clauses for partial participation during the game.
These contracts resolve based on whether Josh Jacobs achieves specified rushing yard thresholds (from 30+ to 130+) in the full Carolina vs Green Bay Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 29, 2026, including any overtime periods. Each contract is designated as 'protected,' meaning if Jacobs participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the first half (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price prior to the game's kickoff—unless he meets or exceeds the required rushing yards, in which case it settles based on actual statistics. If he participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half involvement. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates remains subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk, incorporating a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders predicting the outcome. If a large number of traders believe a particular rushing yard total is likely, the price for that outcome will increase, potentially moving it closer to – or even beyond – what sportsbooks are offering. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges closer to the game.
On Kalshi, this market operates as a continuous-double auction, meaning prices are determined by buy and sell orders placed by traders. The current price for any given outcome—for example, whether the total rushing yards will exceed a certain threshold—represents the market’s consensus probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis, news, and perceived value, creating a dynamic and responsive pricing system. The more demand for a particular outcome, the higher its price will climb, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard statistics from the Carolina vs Green Bay game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing yard totals, as recorded by official game statistics, will determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will not. The total rushing yards will be the determining factor for this market.
Numerous signals could move this market leading up to resolution around Oct 30, 2026. Updates on player injuries, especially to starting running backs for either the Carolina or Green Bay teams, would be highly impactful. Changes in the projected weather forecast for the game day could also influence expectations, as inclement weather typically favors a run-heavy approach. News regarding defensive adjustments or key matchups could also shift the probabilities. Finally, any significant shifts in public opinion, reflected in expert analysis or betting odds, could drive trading activity and alter prices.