TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 11:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how often specific players get the ball during an upcoming football game between Carolina and Green Bay. It focuses on whether particular running backs reach certain thresholds of carries, giving insight into expected offensive strategies and player usage.
All markets resolve based on whether named players record a specified minimum number of rushing attempts in the designated game. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Once a player takes at least one snap — even if that snap is nullified by penalty — the outcome is determined solely by the actual number of rushing attempts they record during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for this event.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply variations in opinion regarding the Carolina vs Green Bay game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total rushing attempts. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they profit from correctly predicting the event's outcome. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will converge towards what the market believes is the true probability of each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of combined rushing attempts by both the Carolina and Green Bay teams will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game data as recorded by the league and verified by sources considered authoritative for sports statistics. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to the game. News regarding injuries to key running backs on either the Carolina or Green Bay teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if heavy rain or snow is predicted, could also shift expectations about the game's running plays. Additionally, any late-breaking news about coaching strategies or changes to the offensive game plan could cause traders to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions in this market.