TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 12:04 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions by specific players in an upcoming NFL game between Carolina and Green Bay. Participants can bet on whether each player will achieve a certain level of activity in terms of catching passes during the match.
The event consists of four separate markets, each focused on a different player’s reception performance in the Carolina vs Green Bay NFL game scheduled for October 29, 2026. Each market operates as a scalar betting mechanism where Yes contracts pay $0.05 per reception recorded by the respective player, up to a maximum payout of $1.00, which corresponds to a cap of 20 receptions. The No contracts pay the remainder, calculated as $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Payouts are proportional to the holder’s position size and constrained between $0.00 and $1.00. For instance, if a player records eight receptions, the Yes payout would be $0.40 and the No payout $0.60; zero receptions would result in a Yes payout of $0.00 and a No payout of $1.00. The structure ensures that as the number of receptions increases, the Yes payout rises linearly while the No payout decreases correspondingly, creating a clear inverse relationship between the two outcomes for each player market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence how quickly prices respond to new information, and the current volume indicates the level of interest in this particular event.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official statistics from the Carolina vs Green Bay game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for each player will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game data and will reflect the actual number of receptions achieved by each player during the game. The outcome will be determined by the official stats released by the NFL.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key receivers or the quarterbacks for either team would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements about changes in offensive strategy or playing time for specific players could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from reliable sources could sway traders’ opinions and affect the prices.