TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

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Carolina vs Green Bay: Receptions Escalator
kalshi

What is the result of Carolina vs Green Bay?

Volume:
$19,708

Christian Watson

 - Kalshi

Christian Watson - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 30, 2026

Closed: Oct 30, 12:09 AM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Christian Watson

View
19%
10%
Yes 18.7¢No 81.4¢
—
N/A
$2,990
N/A
N/A
$2,863
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Chuba Hubbard

13%
Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢
—
N/A
$2,779
N/A
N/A
$2,481
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Matthew Golden

13%
Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢
—
N/A
$2,654
N/A
N/A
$1,374
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Tetairoa McMillan

8%
3%
Yes 7.9¢No 92.1¢
—
N/A
$4,832
N/A
N/A
$3,475
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Tucker Kraft

8%
1%
Yes 7.9¢No 92.1¢
—
N/A
$4,575
N/A
N/A
$3,078
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Jalen Coker

0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.7¢
—
N/A
$1,855
N/A
N/A
$989
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

MarShawn Lloyd

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24
N/A
N/A
$24
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
Total markets: 7

Description

This set of markets tracks how many times specific players catch the ball during a football game between two teams on a set date. Payouts increase with the number of successful catches, rewarding participants who accurately predict player performance.

Kalshi

Each market determines payouts based on the number of receptions a designated player achieves in the specified game. Yes contracts pay according to a tiered schedule that increases with each reception, up to a maximum payout of $1.00 for 14 or more receptions. The payout formula uses a cubic scaling function to calculate the precise amount, ensuring higher receptions yield progressively larger returns. No contracts pay the difference between $1.00 and the Yes payout, creating a zero-sum dynamic where total payouts for both sides sum to $1.00. All markets resolve to Yes once the game’s official reception statistics are confirmed.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Carolina vs Green Bay receptions market tracks the current price, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the volume is $19,132 and the total volume is $19,708. You can also see a visual representation of how the price has changed over time, giving you insights into market sentiment. This allows you to monitor how traders are valuing different outcomes for the total receptions in this NFL matchup, and provides a clear view of market activity.

Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of different reception totals. If a significant discrepancy exists, it might indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total receptions. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time representation of expectations. The market aggregates the collective intelligence of its participants to determine the fair price for each possible reception total.

This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception total from the Carolina vs Green Bay game will be used to determine the winning contracts. It's important to note that the official game statistics will serve as the basis for resolution, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results following the game's completion to understand how this market will settle.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either the Carolina or Green Bay teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, especially if they are expected to impact the passing game, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about defensive strategies or coaching decisions could influence how traders assess the potential for receptions. Even general shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.