TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 10:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions specific players achieve in an upcoming football game between Carolina and Green Bay. The outcome depends on whether designated players meet or exceed specified reception thresholds during the full game, including any overtime periods.
All markets are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but not after the first half (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price prior to kickoff unless the player meets the reception threshold, in which case it settles based on actual statistics. If the player participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half participation. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates is subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and all events include full game receptions plus overtime.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and the probability implied by that price goes up. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, meaning prices can fluctuate rapidly in response to news, injuries, or changes in sentiment surrounding the game and its players.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for players in the Carolina vs Green Bay game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics recorded by the relevant sports league. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either the Carolina or Green Bay teams would likely cause price shifts. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect passing offenses, could also move the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could influence trader sentiment. Finally, late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to substantial changes in probabilities as traders react to the latest information.