TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 12:04 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the receiving performance of specific players in an upcoming NFL game between Carolina and Green Bay. Participants bet on whether each player will accumulate a certain number of receiving yards, with payouts scaling based on the exact yardage achieved. The structure allows for nuanced predictions about individual player performance in the contest.
All markets function as scalar outcome contracts tied to receiving yardage totals for designated players in the specified NFL matchup. Each Yes contract pays $0.0025 per receiving yard recorded, capped at $1.00 for up to 400 yards, while No contracts pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Payouts are proportional to position size and constrained between $0.00 and $1.00, with examples provided for 0, 80, and 200 receiving yards. The markets resolve to Yes if the specified yardage threshold is met for each respective player, with Kalshi explicitly disclaiming affiliation with the NFL.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders directly bid to buy 'yes' contracts (believing a certain outcome will happen) and offer to sell 'no' contracts. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust, providing a real-time indication of expectations. The higher the price of a 'yes' contract, the more likely the market believes that outcome will occur, and vice versa for 'no' contracts. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to new data.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics for the Carolina vs Green Bay game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle based on the officially recorded receiving yards for each player associated with the different receiving yard ladder outcomes. The platform will then determine which contracts pay out based on whether the actual yardage exceeds the thresholds defined in each market. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, relying on publicly available data.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers on either the Carolina or Green Bay teams would be a major catalyst. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict heavy rain or strong winds, could impact passing game strategies and thus receiving yardage. Unexpected changes in quarterback performance or defensive schemes could also shift expectations. Finally, late-breaking news about player matchups or coaching decisions could all contribute to price movements in this market.