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416,910
Markets across
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Kalshi:
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Closed: Oct 30, 12:06 AM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks whether Carolina Panthers wide receiver Tetairoa McMillan will exceed 50 receiving yards in their game against the Green Bay Packers. Currently, the probability of McMillan achieving 50+ receiving yards is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on whether Tucker Kraft records 30+ receiving yards in the Carolina vs Green Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 29, 2026, as reported by the official game statistics. Keep a close eye on the performance of both receiving corps leading up to the game on October 30, 2026, to assess the likelihood of this outcome.
All markets refer to specified players in the Carolina vs Green Bay Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 29, 2026. For each market, if the named player records the stated receiving yard threshold or more, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles based on the actual receiving yards recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all thresholds for each player, ensuring consistent evaluation of performance against the specified yardage targets.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price of contracts representing that outcome will rise, potentially offering better value than a traditional sportsbook. However, discrepancies can exist due to differing risk assessments and market participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different receiving yardage ranges. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that range occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a specific range, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded and those with inaccurate beliefs may lose money. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage totals for the Carolina vs Green Bay game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yardage totals, as reported by official sources, will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. The market will settle to reflect the actual total receiving yards achieved during the game, with payouts determined by the contract's specified range and the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers on both the Carolina and Green Bay teams are significant catalysts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that might favor passing or running plays, could also shift expectations. News regarding quarterback performance or offensive play-calling strategies could impact the perceived likelihood of different receiving yardage totals. Finally, any late-breaking news about player availability or team tactics could lead to substantial price movements before Oct 30, 2026.