TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 11:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will be the first to reach 35 points in an upcoming NFL matchup. It captures the dynamic nature of the game by focusing on the pace of scoring rather than the final outcome. The resolution depends purely on which team hits the 35-point mark first, or if neither does.
The event determines whether Carolina, Green Bay, or neither team is the first to score 35 points in their Pro Football game originally scheduled for October 29, 2026. If either Carolina or Green Bay reaches 35 points first during the full game, including any overtime periods, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should neither team achieve this milestone, the Neither Team market resolves to Yes. Postponements are handled such that if the game commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open to resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen scheduling disruptions.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s readily available to sportsbooks. While sportsbook odds are set by professionals, this market allows a broader range of participants to express their beliefs, potentially leading to different probabilities. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, as they are continuously updated by traders reacting to news and developments. However, sportsbook odds remain a valuable point of comparison when assessing the potential value in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Carolina or Green Bay will reach 35 points first. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team reaches 35 points first during the Carolina vs Green Bay game. The final score will be used to determine the winning team, and the market will settle accordingly. The official game statistics will serve as the basis for verifying the outcome of this market and determining which contracts will pay out.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Carolina or Green Bay would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s offensive style, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team formations might also move the market. Finally, public perception and betting trends in traditional sportsbooks could indirectly affect the volume and pricing within this market.