TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 11:41 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the performance of quarterback Jordan Love in an upcoming football game between Carolina and Green Bay. The outcome depends on whether Love achieves specific passing yard thresholds during the full game, including any overtime periods. The contracts include special provisions for player participation and injury scenarios.
All contracts in this event are designated as protected, meaning they incorporate specific participation and injury-related conditions. If Jordan Love participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the first half—including overtime—the contract resolves to the fair price set before the game’s kickoff, unless he meets or exceeds the required passing yard threshold, in which case it settles based on actual statistics. If Love participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of his first-half involvement. Notably, injury, injury designation, or being ruled out is not required for the protection rule to apply. Participation in a play that is nullified by a penalty does not count, and a player who never participates remains subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies exclusively to full-game contracts with an above-or-at-least payout criterion, and this event considers total passing yards including overtime periods. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – and as the event approaches, the prices in this market tend to converge with those found at sportsbooks, though discrepancies can still exist due to differing market participants and risk appetites. It's common to see prediction markets offer more accurate probabilities than traditional polls.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing yardage total for both quarterbacks in the Carolina versus Green Bay game will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle to the outcome that corresponds to the actual combined passing yards achieved during the game. Traders holding contracts for the correct yardage range will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect ranges will not.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding the starting quarterbacks for either team – such as injuries or changes in playing status – would likely cause price fluctuations. Weather conditions, particularly strong winds or heavy rain, could impact passing yardage totals and therefore shift the probabilities. Unexpected coaching decisions or changes in offensive strategies could also move the market. Finally, significant betting activity or large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and influence prices in this market.