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OPEN INTEREST:
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417,059
Markets across
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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Kalshi:
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Closed: Oct 29, 9:45 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the number of passing touchdowns thrown by Jordan Love in a specific football game between Carolina and Green Bay. The outcome depends on whether Love achieves varying thresholds of passing touchdowns during the full match, including any overtime periods.
These markets resolve based on the total number of passing touchdowns thrown by Jordan Love in the designated football game, with separate thresholds for 1+, 2+, 3+, 4+, and 5+ touchdowns. Each contract includes a protection clause: if Love participates in at least one play during the first half but none after halftime (including overtime), the contract resolves to the pre-game fair price unless the required touchdown threshold is met, in which case it settles based on actual performance. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates is subject to the fair price non-participation rule. All contracts cover the full game, including overtime, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league. Trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they’ll buy contracts, driving up the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a fair and efficient market for predicting the number of passing touchdowns.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final number of passing touchdowns scored by all players in the Carolina vs Green Bay game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final outcome of the game and their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team – Carolina or Green Bay – would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor passing or running, could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also cause price fluctuations. Finally, late-breaking news about player availability or performance expectations could lead to substantial movements in this market as traders react to the latest information.