TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 9:43 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how many passing touchdowns quarterback Jordan Love throws in a specific NFL game between Carolina and Green Bay. Each market has a different threshold for the number of touchdowns required for a positive outcome. The markets account for scenarios where Love might be active but not participate in the game.
The official rules for these markets collectively govern the resolution based on the number of passing touchdowns thrown by Jordan Love in the Carolina vs. Green Bay NFL game scheduled for October 29, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific numerical threshold of passing touchdowns (ranging from 1 to 5 or more). If Love achieves the specified number of touchdowns or more, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A key secondary rule applies uniformly across all markets: if Love is listed as active for the game but does not take a single snap, the market settles at its fair market price determined before the game begins. However, once Love takes at least one snap—regardless of whether any play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly based on the actual number of passing touchdowns he records during the game. These provisions ensure clarity in edge cases, such as inactive participation or nullified plays, while emphasizing that resolution hinges on actual performance once game participation begins.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a large number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price of that outcome will rise, potentially offering better value than available elsewhere. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The goal is for the price to accurately reflect the likelihood of each outcome before the game concludes.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing touchdowns scored by both the Carolina and Green Bay teams will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent process. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the final price of their contracts at resolution.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also impact trading activity. Pre-game analysis from sports analysts and updated betting lines from sportsbooks may also sway traders' opinions. Finally, any late-breaking news about team strategies or player matchups could lead to shifts in the price of contracts in this market.