TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 9:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks passing interceptions for both quarterbacks in an upcoming football game between Carolina and Green Bay. It focuses on how often each team's starting quarterback throws intercepted passes during the contest, reflecting their performance under pressure and defensive effectiveness.
All markets resolve based on the total number of passing interceptions recorded by specified quarterbacks during the Carolina vs Green Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 29, 2026. For each quarterback, if they are active but never take a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual number of passing interceptions recorded during the game. Markets are structured to resolve to 'Yes' if the quarterback records the minimum specified number of interceptions (1+, 2+, or 3+) for each respective market. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi is not affiliated with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates insights from individuals actively trading on their beliefs about the game's outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed bettors, though it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total number of passing interceptions. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the probability that outcome will occur. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price tends to converge towards what is believed to be the true probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing expectations regarding the game.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of passing interceptions thrown during the Carolina vs Green Bay game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to determine the winning contract. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual number of interceptions will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. News regarding the quarterbacks' health, such as an injury update for Jordan Love or the Carolina quarterback, would likely have a significant impact. Weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be unfavorable for passing, could also shift expectations. Even late-breaking reports about defensive strategies or changes in the coaching staff could move the market. Any information that alters perceptions of the likelihood of passing interceptions will likely be reflected in the trading activity on Kalshi.