TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 11:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of passing attempts made by specific quarterbacks in an upcoming football game. It focuses on whether predetermined thresholds of passing attempts are met by the designated players, providing insight into potential game strategies and quarterback usage.
The event evaluates multiple markets centered around passing attempts by Jordan Love and Bryce Young in the Carolina vs Green Bay Pro Football game scheduled for October 29, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (31+, 36+, or 41+) for passing attempts. If the named quarterback meets or exceeds their respective threshold, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A key secondary rule applies uniformly: if a quarterback is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. However, once a quarterback takes at least one snap—even if that snap is nullified by a penalty—the market settles based on the actual passing attempts recorded during the game. These rules ensure clarity in resolution, accounting for player availability and in-game developments, while emphasizing that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular passing attempt range, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions in real-time, offering a different perspective than fixed-odds betting.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing attempt totals for both quarterbacks will be used to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual number of attempts. The market will settle based on the official data released by the NFL, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts after the event concludes and the data is verified.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding the starting quarterbacks’ health, such as an injury or illness, would be a major catalyst. Changes in the weather forecast, particularly strong winds or heavy rain, could influence play-calling and affect passing attempts. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive strategy could also move the market. Finally, late-breaking news about key receivers being unavailable could also lead to adjustments in the predicted passing volume for both teams, impacting the probabilities within this market.