TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 12:09 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting whether specific players and teams will exceed designated fantasy point thresholds in an upcoming football game. Each market evaluates individual performance based on detailed scoring rules, including points from various in-game actions such as yards gained, touchdowns, and defensive plays.
All markets resolve based on Sleeper’s default full-PPR fantasy scoring system applied to the full game (including overtime) between Carolina and Green Bay scheduled for Oct 29, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified player or team accumulates more than the stated fantasy point threshold. Players or teams that do not participate or are not assigned a fantasy-point value by Sleeper are considered to have scored zero points. The official Sleeper fantasy-point totals at market expiration are used for resolution, with no post-expiration adjustments or rounding. Scoring includes points from passing, rushing, receiving, kicking, defensive/special teams plays, and allows negative points for interceptions, missed kicks, and allowed points defensively.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market represents the collective belief of traders. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when a significant amount of volume is traded. However, sportsbook odds still provide a valuable benchmark for comparison, and discrepancies can highlight potential value opportunities for informed traders. It's important to consider both when evaluating the potential outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly. The current market depth shows the available contracts at different price points, giving traders insight into the order flow and potential price movements.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final fantasy point totals for players in the Carolina vs Green Bay game will be used to determine the winning contracts. Resolution will occur after official statistics are released and verified. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome was correct, according to the market’s rules. The process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data, ensuring a fair outcome for all participants.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Carolina or Green Bay teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also move the market. Unexpected news about team strategy or coaching decisions might also influence trader sentiment. Finally, late-breaking reports on player availability or performance leading up to the game could create substantial shifts in the odds. Monitoring these factors is crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential opportunities.