TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 11:32 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on individual player performance in an upcoming NFL matchup between Carolina and Green Bay. Participants bet on whether specific players will achieve certain fantasy point thresholds, with payouts directly tied to the actual points scored during the game.
Each market determines payouts based on the PPR fantasy points scored by a designated player in the specified NFL game, using Sleeper's official weekly fantasy-point totals. For each player market, Yes contracts pay $0.01 per fantasy point scored, rounded to the nearest cent with half cents rounded up, and capped between $0.00 and $1.00. The No contracts pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout. If a player records negative or no fantasy points, or if Sleeper does not assign a point total for the week, the player is considered to have scored 0.0 points, resulting in a $0.00 payout for Yes and $1.00 for No. Payouts scale proportionally with contract positions, ensuring that participants' returns reflect both their investment size and the player's actual performance in the game.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Therefore, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the collective intelligence of traders. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts regarding the Carolina vs Green Bay game.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final fantasy football scores for the Carolina vs Green Bay game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official fantasy point totals calculated by a major fantasy sports provider. The contract representing the outcome with the highest fantasy score will be considered the winning contract. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Carolina or Green Bay teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in player matchups or coaching strategies could also shift expectations. Furthermore, unexpected weather conditions during the game could impact player performance and, consequently, the market prices. Finally, general shifts in public opinion or analysis regarding the relative strengths of the teams could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.