TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 10:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory in the second quarter of an upcoming football game between Carolina and Green Bay. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that determines whether the bet resolves as 'Yes' or 'No' based on the scoring during that specific quarter.
These markets resolve based on the point differential between Carolina and Green Bay exclusively during the second quarter of their game scheduled for October 29, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if Green Bay wins by more than 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, or 3.5 points, or if Carolina wins by more than 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points during that quarter, the respective market resolves to 'Yes.' Only points scored in the second quarter count toward these outcomes. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately, and the result for each depends solely on whether the actual point differential exceeds its specified margin.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows individuals to express their own beliefs about the game’s outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the collective insight of traders. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts regarding the Carolina versus Green Bay matchup.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the second quarter of the Carolina versus Green Bay game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, determining whether Carolina won the second quarter by more or less than the specified spread. The final score will be the determining factor, and the market will settle accordingly, reflecting the actual result of the game’s second quarter.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Carolina or Green Bay would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact trading activity. Additionally, any shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams’ strengths and weaknesses could drive price fluctuations. Unexpected developments during the first quarter of the game itself might also lead to adjustments in the market as traders react to the unfolding events.