TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 10:12 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how many points each team scores in the first half of an upcoming football game. Each outcome represents a different scoring threshold that, if surpassed by a team's performance, determines the result.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by either Carolina or Green Bay in the first half of the game scheduled for October 29, 2026. For any given market, if the specified team scores more than the stated point threshold during the first half, the market resolves to 'Yes.' If the team does not exceed the threshold, the market resolves to 'No.' The outcomes represent incremental scoring benchmarks, ranging from modest to very high point totals, allowing participants to assess varying levels of offensive performance. All markets are independent, and each threshold must be evaluated separately against the actual game results. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market’s odds are driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public perception diverges from expert analysis. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into where the market finds value relative to traditional betting options.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers set the odds for the total points scored by each team in the first half. Traders can buy 'YES' contracts, predicting the total will be *over* a certain number, or 'NO' contracts, predicting it will be *under*. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of all participants. As more traders buy 'YES' contracts, the price increases, and vice versa, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of probability.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the first half of the Carolina vs Green Bay game will be used to determine whether the total points scored by each team exceeded or fell short of the threshold defined by the contracts traded on Kalshi. The official NFL statistics will serve as the basis for verifying the result and settling all outstanding contracts.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries to either the Carolina or Green Bay teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing game, could also shift expectations. Even significant shifts in public sentiment, driven by expert analysis or social media trends, can impact trading activity and the overall price of contracts on Kalshi. Any updates impacting the perceived offensive capabilities of either team are likely to be reflected in the market.