TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the margin of victory in an NHL game between Carolina and Edmonton. It determines whether either team wins by a specific number of goals, reflecting the competitive balance and performance of both teams in the matchup.
The markets resolve based on the final score difference of the Carolina vs Edmonton NHL game scheduled for October 22, 2026, with specific thresholds for victory margins. If Edmonton wins by more than 2.5 goals or more than 1.5 goals, the relevant Edmonton markets resolve to Yes. Conversely, if Carolina wins by more than 1.5 goals or more than 2.5 goals, the corresponding Carolina markets resolve to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of scheduling changes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of informed traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the odds here will move accordingly. It's common to see this market odds converge with sportsbook odds as the event approaches, but divergences can occur due to differing information or analytical approaches. The comparison can reveal where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are incentivized to accurately predict the spread, as profitable trades are rewarded. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price dynamically adjusts based on new information and trading activity, providing a real-time assessment of the likely result. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism driven by the collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Carolina vs Edmonton game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing sports league, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the official game conclusion.
Several factors could influence the Carolina vs Edmonton spread between now and Oct 23, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected team performance in preceding games could shift the odds. Major weather forecasts impacting game conditions could also play a role. Public sentiment, as reflected in news articles and social media, can also exert pressure, though informed traders often prioritize data-driven analysis. Unexpected developments in team dynamics or key player matchups are also likely to cause movement in this market.