TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 9:39 PM EST
Kalshi
The final matchup features Carolina and Chicago, where the emphasis is on which team will win and by how many goals. The contest's resolution depends entirely on the goal difference between Carolina and Chicago.
All markets resolve based on the official result of the Carolina vs Chicago NHL game scheduled for Oct 10, 2026. If Chicago wins by more than 2.5 goals, the first market resolves to Yes. If Chicago wins by more than 1.5 goals, the second market resolves to Yes. If Carolina wins by more than 1.5 goals, the third market resolves to Yes. If Carolina wins by more than 2.5 goals, the fourth market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve based on the final score. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders on Kalshi, aims to represent the true probability of the outcome, though discrepancies can and do occur. It's common to see prediction markets move faster and more efficiently than sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive understanding of expectations surrounding the Carolina vs Chicago spread.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing different outcomes of the Carolina vs Chicago spread. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price isn’t set by a bookmaker but emerges from the interaction of many individuals trading their perspectives. The closer we get to the event, the more volatile the prices may become as traders react to news and updates.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Carolina vs Chicago game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the relevant sporting authority. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the odds at the time of their trade. It is important to note that the market will close prior to the event’s completion to prevent manipulation and ensure a fair resolution process.
Several factors could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Carolina or Chicago teams would likely have a substantial impact. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts for the game day, or even significant shifts in public perception based on expert analysis could all influence trading activity. Unexpected news about team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade this market effectively.