TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 10:41 PM EST
Kalshi
Two hockey teams face off in a match where bettors predict whether the combined goals will exceed a set threshold. The outcome hinges purely on the final score count from the game.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored by both teams in the Carolina vs Calgary NHL game scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. Goals counted include those scored during regulation time and overtime; a shootout awards one goal to the winner. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome. This market, however, is driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the event. As a result, the implied probabilities in this market can sometimes diverge from sportsbook odds, potentially offering value to informed bettors. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds in forecasting accuracy.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks for contracts representing different outcomes. The current price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their prices based on new information and their own analysis, leading to a dynamic and efficient price discovery process. The price moves based on supply and demand; more buyers push the price up, while more sellers drive it down.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total goals scored in the Carolina vs Calgary game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics and will determine whether the 'yes' or 'no' outcome prevails. The market will settle to 100 for the outcome that occurs, and 0 for the outcome that does not. Traders holding contracts on the correct side will receive a payout based on the final market price.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Carolina or Calgary teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift the market. Late-breaking news about team strategies or goalie changes could also play a role. Even public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can sometimes influence trading activity and the overall price of this market.