TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 6:34 PM EST
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming FA Cup game, scheduled for Saturday, October 17, 2026 between Carlisle United FC and Tamworth FC.
This event is for the upcoming FA Cup game, scheduled for Saturday, October 17, 2026 between Carlisle United FC and Tamworth FC.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it could indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome. It’s common to see this market incorporate information and analysis that isn’t immediately reflected in sportsbook pricing, leading to potentially different implied probabilities for the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event’s potential results. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Carlisle vs. Tamworth match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which shares will pay out. Traders should monitor official announcements regarding the match result to understand when the market will be settled and payouts distributed.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly impact perceived probabilities. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from sports analysts, weather forecasts affecting playing conditions, and even public sentiment expressed on social media could all contribute to price movements. Unexpected events during the match itself, such as early red cards or key goals, would also likely cause substantial shifts in this market.