TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 04d:12h:53m
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In the upcoming match between Carlisle United FC and Salford City FC, scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Carlisle United FC" if Carlisle United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Salford City FC" if Salford City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Carlisle United FC and Salford City FC, scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Carlisle United FC" if Carlisle United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Salford City FC" if Salford City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market is driven by individuals betting on their genuine beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probability of a team scoring first. Examining these differences can be valuable for identifying potential value in either market, but it’s important to remember they represent distinct viewpoints.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in Salford City FC to score first, for example, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of that event. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability of Salford City FC scoring first is 48.0%.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team—Carlisle United or Salford City—scores the first goal in the match. The result will be based on official match data and verified against credible public sources. Any goals scored during regular play, or any added time, will count towards determining the first team to score. The outcome will be determined by the official match report.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Nov 7, 2026. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Carlisle United or Salford City would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also impact trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day, or tactical announcements from the managers, could trigger movement in this market as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.