TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 8:02 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming National League game between Carlisle United FC and Harrogate Town AFC, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Carlisle United FC vs. Harrogate Town AFC match originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming National League game between Carlisle United FC and Harrogate Town AFC, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Carlisle United FC vs. Harrogate Town AFC match originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of certain outcomes. However, it’s important to remember that both represent different forms of forecasting, and neither is always definitively ‘correct’.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing each possible exact score, and the price of each share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular score is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will climb. This creates a dynamic and responsive price discovery process, driven entirely by supply and demand within the market.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official result of the Carlisle United FC vs. Harrogate Town AFC match will determine the winning outcome. Resolution will occur after the match concludes and the exact score is officially recorded by the governing football authorities. Traders holding shares in the correct exact score will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the probabilities within this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Carlisle United or Harrogate Town would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could all contribute to shifts in trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also move the market, as traders react to any information that alters their assessment of the likely outcome.