TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Over 0.5 goals scored
- Kalshi
Over 0.5 goals scored - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 4, 2026
Time left: 02d:06h:13m
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This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Cardiff and West Ham. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams during the regulated time of the game.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the Cardiff vs West Ham EFL Championship match scheduled for November 4, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the combined goals exceed a specified threshold—ranging from more than 0.5 to more than 5.5 goals—within the 90 minutes plus stoppage time of regular play, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is assessed separately, and none are contingent on the outcomes of others. The rules clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly as the event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates diverse opinions. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes offer value before the prediction market fully incorporates information. It’s common to see convergence between the two as more data becomes available and traders refine their forecasts for this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts corresponding to different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the event's outcome. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likelihood of various goal totals in the Cardiff vs West Ham match.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal tally in the Cardiff vs West Ham match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total goals scored during regular play (90 minutes plus any added time) will determine the winning contract. Any extra time or penalty shootouts are not considered for the purpose of this market. The resolution will be based on official match data released by recognized sports authorities, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Cardiff or West Ham would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about referee assignments or significant pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market as traders react to new information.