TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Cardiff wins by more than 2.5 goals
- Kalshi
Cardiff wins by more than 2.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 4, 2026
Time left: 01d:22h:38m
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This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Cardiff and West Ham, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a decisive lead over their opponent by a specified number of goals. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates different goal-differential scenarios in the Cardiff vs West Ham EFL Championship match scheduled for November 4, 2026. Four distinct outcome thresholds are considered: Cardiff winning by more than 2.5 goals, Cardiff winning by more than 1.5 goals, West Ham winning by more than 1.5 goals, and West Ham winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based exclusively on the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. Each market will resolve to 'Yes' only if the specified team achieves the exact margin of victory outlined in its primary rule; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all branding remains property of respective rights holders.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action on both sides, while this market allows participants to freely express their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the perceived probabilities of different outcomes in the Cardiff vs West Ham match. Keep in mind that sportsbooks and prediction markets have different incentives and participant bases.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final spread in the Cardiff vs West Ham match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The current price reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants on Kalshi, offering a unique perspective compared to traditional polling or expert analysis. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to new information.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Cardiff vs West Ham match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports authority. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final result as this will determine the settlement of all outstanding contracts in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 4, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries, team form, tactical changes, or even weather conditions could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or key player availability are likely to cause immediate price adjustments. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, reflected in media coverage or social media trends, could also contribute to movement in this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade effectively before the Cardiff vs West Ham match concludes.