TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 4:48 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates the total number of goals scored during a soccer match between Cardiff and Watford. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals, determining whether the match outcome exceeds that threshold. The resolution depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
These markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the Cardiff vs Watford professional EFL Championship soccer match scheduled for October 13, 2026. For each market, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if the combined goals scored by both teams exceed the specified threshold—ranging from 0.5 to 5.5 goals—within the standard 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Extra time and penalty shootout results are explicitly excluded from consideration. All markets operate independently, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately against the actual final score. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market’s prices are determined by the collective predictions of individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams’ strengths. Comparing these odds can be a useful exercise for informed betting, but remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and trading contracts at favorable prices before the event concludes.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Cardiff vs Watford match will be the determining factor. This includes goals scored during regular play and any added time, but excludes penalty shootouts. The final goal count will be sourced from official match data and used to determine which contracts will payout and at what value.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Cardiff or Watford would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or pre-match analysis from reputable sources could also cause price fluctuations. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of different goal totals could move this market.