TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Cardiff vs Watford: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Cardiff vs Watford?

Volume:
$11,908

Cardiff wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Cardiff wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 13, 2026

Closed: Oct 13, 4:52 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Cardiff wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,601
N/A
N/A
$3,140
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cardiff wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,807
N/A
N/A
$2,626
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cardiff wins by more than 3.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,586
N/A
N/A
$1,142
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cardiff wins by more than 4.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,537
N/A
N/A
$1,133
Settled
No
kalshi

Cardiff wins by more than 5.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$570
N/A
N/A
$570
Settled
No
kalshi

Watford wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$507
N/A
N/A
$507
Settled
No
kalshi

Watford wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks the performance of two soccer teams in an upcoming match, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a decisive lead over the opponent, measured by specific goal differences. The outcome depends purely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event evaluates various goal-differential scenarios in a professional EFL Championship soccer match between Cardiff and Watford scheduled for October 13, 2026. Resolution is determined solely by the full-time score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty outcomes are irrelevant. Four distinct market conditions are considered: Cardiff winning by more than 2.5 goals, Cardiff winning by more than 1.5 goals, Watford winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Watford winning by more than 2.5 goals. Any market that meets its specified condition resolves to 'Yes,' while all others resolve to 'No.' The operator explicitly disclaims official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Cardiff vs Watford match tracks the current price of the spread, the 24-hour trading volume, and a history of how the price has changed over time. Currently, the volume is $11,162, and the total volume traded on this market is $11,908. You can see how traders are positioning themselves and get a sense of market sentiment as the event approaches. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where the crowd believes the spread will land for this football match.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market incorporates insights from many participants. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing these odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their forecasts are correct. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to converge towards a fair assessment of the event's likelihood, based on the information available to the market participants.

This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread for the Cardiff vs Watford match, as determined by official sources, will be used to determine the winning contracts. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution. It's important to monitor official results to understand the final outcome and how this market settles.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 14, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or tactical adjustments could shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions or referee announcements might also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi could indicate changing sentiment and cause price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the potential drivers of movement in this market.