TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 4:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Cardiff and Watford. The result is determined by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. The event covers three possible outcomes based on which team wins or if the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Cardiff vs Watford professional EFL Championship soccer match scheduled for October 13, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins as defined in each market (Cardiff, Watford, or Tie for a drawn match). If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The event exclusively considers regular time results, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to express their true beliefs about the outcome of the Cardiff vs Watford match. As a result, prediction market prices can sometimes be more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. Discrepancies can highlight situations where the crowd disagrees with the sportsbook’s assessment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Cardiff vs Watford match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. The closer the event gets, the more the price will likely reflect the actual probability of each outcome, as traders refine their predictions based on new information.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cardiff vs Watford match, as declared by the governing sports authority. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predicted outcome matches the actual result. The platform ensures a transparent and verifiable resolution process, providing clarity and confidence in the market’s outcome. It's important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team management, or shifts in team form could significantly impact predictions. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, major tactical announcements or changes in betting patterns from large-volume traders on Kalshi can cause price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments surrounding the Cardiff vs Watford match is crucial for understanding potential market movements.