TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Cardiff vs Birmingham: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Cardiff vs Birmingham?

Volume:
$3,486

Birmingham wins by more than 2.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Birmingham wins by more than 2.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 24, 2026

Closed: Oct 24, 11:59 AM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Birmingham wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,528
N/A
N/A
$1,315
Settled
No
kalshi

Cardiff wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,272
N/A
N/A
$1,250
Settled
No
kalshi

Birmingham wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$354
N/A
N/A
$327
Settled
No
kalshi

Cardiff wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$333
N/A
N/A
$302
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This set of markets focuses on the margin of victory in an upcoming soccer match between Cardiff and Birmingham. Each market evaluates different goal-differential thresholds to determine the outcome, reflecting various levels of dominance by either team. The resolution depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The markets collectively assess the goal-differential by which either Cardiff or Birmingham may win the match. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Cardiff wins by more than 2.5 goals, or by more than 1.5 goals, or if Birmingham wins by more than 1.5 goals, or by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. The governing body’s official match result is the sole determinant, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or teams involved.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Cardiff vs Birmingham match tracks the current price of the spread, the 24-hour trading volume, and a historical price chart. Currently, the volume is $3,168 and the total volume traded on this market is $3,486. This allows users to see how confidence in the outcome is shifting and how much activity there is in this particular market. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where traders stand on the likely result of the match.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust the price based on their own analysis and information. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into public sentiment and potential value bets.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the spread in the Cardiff vs Birmingham match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective prediction of the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their beliefs align with the eventual outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a highly efficient and informative market for forecasting the result.

This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined based on the actual result of the Cardiff vs Birmingham match, as reported by official sources. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand any potential factors that could influence the final outcome.

Several signals could move this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, tactical changes, or even weather conditions could impact trader sentiment and shift the price. Unexpected announcements about key players being unavailable, or a significant change in team performance in preceding matches, would likely cause movement. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could also indicate a shift in expectations and influence the market price. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential price fluctuations.