TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This event group concerns the outcome of a soccer match between Cardiff City FC and West Ham United FC scheduled for November 4, 2026. Markets ask whether Cardiff City will win, West Ham United will win, or the match will end in a draw, all within the standard 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time.
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Wednesday, November 4, 2026 between Cardiff City FC and West Ham United FC.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Cardiff vs West Ham EFL Championship soccer match scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Cardiff wins, the 'Cardiff' market resolves to Yes. If West Ham wins, the 'West Ham' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away from the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for November 4, 2026, 19:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to trade and express their views. This can lead to differences in probabilities, as prediction markets aggregate diverse information and incentives. However, both types of odds aim to represent the likelihood of an event occurring, and discrepancies can present arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can diverge due to several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading volumes, and fee structures, all of which influence price discovery. Polymarket currently favors Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-11-04? at 47.5%, while Kalshi leans toward West Ham wins at 48.0%. Additionally, differing liquidity and information access across the platforms can contribute to these price discrepancies. Traders may interpret available data differently on each venue, leading to varied assessments of the likely outcome of the Cardiff City vs. West Ham match.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Cardiff City vs. West Ham match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official match result as reported by a widely recognized sports data provider, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Cardiff City or West Ham United would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected news about the clubs’ ownership or financial situations could also play a role, though to a lesser extent. Monitoring sports news and team updates is crucial for understanding potential movements in this market.