TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 6:52 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Cardiff City FC and Watford FC, scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cardiff City FC" if Cardiff City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Watford FC" if Watford FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Cardiff City FC and Watford FC, scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cardiff City FC" if Cardiff City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Watford FC" if Watford FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, often incorporating biases or aiming to balance their book. This market, however, allows traders to freely express their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, particularly as more information becomes available. While sportsbooks may adjust their odds based on betting action, prediction markets continuously update based on every trade, offering a dynamic and potentially more efficient price discovery process.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team, if any, scores the first goal in the Cardiff City FC versus Watford FC match. The official match records will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings after the result is officially verified and reported.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 13, 2026. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Cardiff City FC or Watford FC would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also move the market, as traders react to any information that alters the perceived probability of either team scoring first.