TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 04d:16h:57m
$
This group forecasts the outcome of a single EFL Championship soccer match between Cardiff City FC and Burnley FC scheduled for November 7, 2026. Markets exist for Cardiff City winning, Burnley FC winning, and the game ending in a draw.
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Saturday, November 7, 2026 between Cardiff City FC and Burnley FC.
The event encompasses three possible outcomes for the Cardiff vs Burnley EFL Championship soccer match scheduled for November 7, 2026: Cardiff win, Burnley win, or a tie. Each outcome has a corresponding market that resolves to Yes if that specific result occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalty shootouts excluded from consideration. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the event rules. The governing body's official result will be the definitive reference for resolution, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or its trademarks.
Prediction market odds, like those displayed for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on their internal models and aim to profit from imbalances in betting. Prediction markets, however, are driven by the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to more efficient price discovery, especially as more information becomes available. While sportsbooks may incorporate public opinion, this market directly reflects it. Therefore, discrepancies can arise based on differing methodologies and participant motivations.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to variations in user base, trading fees, and market-specific rules. Each platform attracts a different demographic of traders with varying levels of expertise and risk tolerance. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform can influence price movements. Polymarket currently favors Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-11-07? at 42.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Cardiff wins at 49.0%, demonstrating these differing perspectives. These factors contribute to the dynamic pricing observed across prediction markets.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Cardiff City vs. Burnley match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The official result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the basis for settlement. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result and ensure they understand the timing of the resolution process. The outcome will be verified against credible public sources.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 7, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Cardiff City or Burnley would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a string of wins or losses, could also influence trader sentiment. News regarding managerial decisions, tactical changes, or even weather conditions on match day could all play a role. Major upsets in other relevant matches, or even broader football news, might indirectly affect the perceived likelihood of outcomes in this market.